Dustin May is a Milwaukee Brewers SP projected for 246 fantasy points on 152.8 IP, 151 K, 4.7 ERA, 1.319 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 3% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Dustin May's 2026 projection is built on 153 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 7 seasons with meaningful innings, May's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 28: 144 strikeouts over 146 innings, with 7 wins. Innings across 2023, 2025 and 2026 ran 48, 132 and 146, a rising workload.
In 2026, May's 4.70 ERA sat close to a 4.45 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: May struck out 23.2% of batters and walked 8.1%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.1 points, and hitters missed on 23.0% of their swings. Contact against May averaged 90.0 mph off the bat, with a 7.8% barrel rate.
May's projected range runs from a 233-point floor to a 393-point upside, around a 246-point median: a spread of 160 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to May on the board are Kumar Rocker, Will Warren and Brandon Young.
At 28, May is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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