Caleb Kilian is a Philadelphia Phillies SP+RP projected for 116 fantasy points on 47.7 IP, 56 K, 4.9 ERA, 1.363 WHIP, 8 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Caleb Kilian's 2026 projection is built on 48 innings as a closer. That role carries 8 projected saves.
Kilian's one season with meaningful innings came in 2026 at age 29: 48 innings with 56 strikeouts. A single season is a thin base for a projection.
In 2026, Kilian's 4.91 ERA ran above a 3.57 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Kilian struck out 26.8% of batters and walked 10.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 16.3 points, and hitters missed on 27.9% of their swings. Contact against Kilian averaged 87.8 mph off the bat, with an 8.6% barrel rate.
Kilian's projected range runs from a 116-point floor to a 186-point upside, around a 116-point median: a spread of 70 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Kilian on the board are Grant Wolfram, Orlando Ribalta and David Morgan.
At 29, Kilian is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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