Randy Arozarena is a Seattle Mariners OF projected for 438 fantasy points on 25 HR, .251 AVG, 118 R, 84 RBI, 27 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 4% and a bust at 20%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Randy Arozarena's 2026 projection is built on 704 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Arozarena bats right-handed.
Across 7 seasons of regular playing time, Arozarena's most productive came in 2026 at age 31: 277 total bases, 79 RBI and 113 runs over 670 plate appearances, with 26 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 648, 709 and 670.
In 2026, Arozarena's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .379 wOBA against a .348 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Arozarena's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 90.8 mph average exit velocity, an 8.1% barrel rate and 43.5% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Arozarena struck out in 21.6% of plate appearances and walked in 10.1%, chasing 30.6% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 70.9 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Arozarena's strikeout rate fell from 26.9% to 21.6% and barrel rate fell from 11.5% to 8.1%.
Arozarena's projected range runs from a 418-point floor to a 570-point upside, around a 438-point median: a spread of 152 points, or 35% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Arozarena on the board are Heriberto Hernández, Connor Norby and Dansby Swanson.
At 31, Arozarena is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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