José Soriano is a Toronto Blue Jays SP projected for 344 fantasy points on 187.3 IP, 179 K, 3.9 ERA, 1.290 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
José Soriano's 2026 projection is built on 187 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, Soriano's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 27: 169 strikeouts over 177 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 113, 169 and 177.
In 2026, Soriano's 3.91 ERA came in below a 4.45 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Soriano struck out 22.7% of batters and walked 9.8%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.9 points, and hitters missed on 28.6% of their swings. Contact against Soriano averaged 88.5 mph off the bat, with a 7.5% barrel rate.
Soriano's projected range runs from a 327-point floor to a 550-point upside, around a 344-point median: a spread of 223 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Soriano on the board are Robbie Ray, Sean Burke and Tanner Bibee.
At 27, Soriano is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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