Tommy Nance is a Minnesota Twins RP projected for 118 fantasy points on 62.9 IP, 71 K, 3.9 ERA, 1.391 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 15%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Tommy Nance's 2026 projection is built on 63 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Nance's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 35: 68 strikeouts over 60 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 22, 32 and 60, a rising workload.
In 2026, Nance's 3.92 ERA came in below a 4.45 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Nance struck out 26.4% of batters and walked 9.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.1 points, and hitters missed on 26.5% of their swings. Contact against Nance averaged 88.8 mph off the bat, with a 7.3% barrel rate.
Nance's projected range runs from a 112-point floor to a 189-point upside, around a 118-point median: a spread of 77 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Nance on the board are Greg Weissert, Orion Kerkering and George Soriano.
At 35, Nance is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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