Gavin Lux is a Tampa Bay Rays OF projected for 17 fantasy points on 0 R, 0 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 22%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Across 6 seasons of regular playing time, Lux's most productive came in 2022 at age 24: 168 total bases, 42 RBI and 66 runs over 471 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2022, 2024 and 2025 ran 471, 487 and 503.
In 2025, Lux's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .322 wOBA against a .299 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Lux's 2025 batted-ball profile: an 88.3 mph average exit velocity, a 3.6% barrel rate and 36.9% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Lux struck out in 22.7% of plate appearances and walked in 11.1%, chasing 19.4% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 69.5 mph.
From 2024 to 2025, Lux's walk rate rose from 9.0% to 11.1%.
The 2026 projection for Lux is minimal, around a 17-point median, so this season carries little fantasy value to weigh.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Lux on the board are Matt Vierling, Eric Wagaman and Brett Baty.
At 28, Lux is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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