Cole Ragans is a Kansas City Royals SP projected for 57 fantasy points on 35.4 IP, 45 K, 4.8 ERA, 1.417 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Cole Ragans's 2026 projection is built on 35 innings as a starter.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Ragans's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 26: 223 strikeouts over 186 innings, with 11 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 186, 62 and 35, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
Tracking data from 2026: Ragans struck out 29.8% of batters and walked 15.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 14.6 points, and hitters missed on 31.7% of their swings. Contact against Ragans averaged 89.6 mph off the bat, with a 15.7% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Ragans's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 349 pitches, the whiff rate sits 14 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 2 points above Ragans's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Ragans's projected range runs from a 57-point floor to a 91-point upside, around a 57-point median: a spread of 34 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Ragans on the board are Griffin Jax, Mark Leiter Jr. and Edwin Díaz.
At 28, Ragans is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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