Freddy Fermin is a San Diego Padres C projected for 89 fantasy points on 5 HR, .242 AVG, 23 R, 25 RBI, 1 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 24%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Freddy Fermin's 2026 projection is built on 275 plate appearances in a part-time role. Fermin bats right-handed.
Across 4 seasons of regular playing time, Fermin's most productive came in 2024 at age 29: 124 total bases, 36 RBI and 40 runs over 368 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 368, 348 and 265.
In 2026, Fermin's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .265 wOBA against a .270 expected wOBA.
Fermin's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 87.5 mph average exit velocity, a 3.8% barrel rate and 29.0% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Fermin struck out in 21.1% of plate appearances and walked in 7.9%, chasing 34.0% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 69.8 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Fermin's average exit velocity fell from 89.1 mph to 87.5 mph and walk rate rose from 5.5% to 7.9%.
Fermin's projected range runs from an 85-point floor to a 254-point upside, around an 89-point median: a spread of 169 points, or 190% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Fermin on the board are Vaughn Grissom, Connor Wong and Jonah Heim.
At 31, Fermin is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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