Jonathan Aranda is a Tampa Bay Rays 1B projected for 339 fantasy points on 23 HR, .277 AVG, 76 R, 96 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Jonathan Aranda's 2026 projection is built on 693 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Aranda bats left-handed.
Across 5 seasons of regular playing time, Aranda's most productive came in 2026 at age 28: 252 total bases, 92 RBI and 73 runs over 668 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 143, 422 and 668, a rising workload.
In 2026, Aranda's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .348 wOBA against a .343 expected wOBA.
Aranda's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 91.1 mph average exit velocity, a 9.9% barrel rate and 46.0% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Aranda struck out in 24.4% of plate appearances and walked in 10.3%, chasing 29.0% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 70.3 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Aranda's average exit velocity fell from 93.0 mph to 91.1 mph and barrel rate fell from 12.9% to 9.9%.
Aranda's projected range runs from a 323-point floor to a 458-point upside, around a 339-point median: a spread of 135 points, or 40% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Aranda on the board are Pete Alonso, Drake Baldwin and Kyle Stowers.
At 28, Aranda is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, though the multi-year valuation still discounts later seasons.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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