Carlos Narváez is a Baltimore Orioles C projected for 21 fantasy points on 7 HR, .218 AVG, 32 R, 15 RBI, 3 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 47%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Carlos Narváez's 2026 projection is built on 292 plate appearances, down from 446 in 2025. Narváez bats right-handed.
Across 2 seasons of regular playing time, Narváez's most productive came in 2025 at age 26: 169 total bases, 50 RBI and 51 runs over 446 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2025 and 2026 ran 446 and 285, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Narváez's results lagged the quality of contact: a .219 wOBA against a .260 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Narváez's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 90.6 mph average exit velocity, a 6.6% barrel rate and 36.9% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Narváez struck out in 31.6% of plate appearances and walked in 6.7%, chasing 32.3% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 72.1 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Narváez's strikeout rate rose from 24.9% to 31.6% and barrel rate fell from 9.1% to 6.6%.
Narváez's projected range runs from a 19-point floor to a 186-point upside, around a 21-point median: a spread of 167 points, or 795% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Narváez on the board are Kris Bryant, Bobby Dalbec and James Outman.
At 27, Narváez is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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