Edward Cabrera is a Chicago Cubs SP projected for 93 fantasy points on 84 IP, 75 K, 5.9 ERA, 1.476 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 15%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Edward Cabrera's 2026 projection is built on 84 innings as a starter.
Across 6 seasons with meaningful innings, Cabrera's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 27: 150 strikeouts over 138 innings, with 8 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 96, 138 and 80, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Cabrera's 5.96 ERA ran above a 5.40 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Cabrera struck out 20.3% of batters and walked 10.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.0 points, and hitters missed on 26.5% of their swings. Contact against Cabrera averaged 90.9 mph off the bat, with an 11.7% barrel rate.
Cabrera's projected range runs from an 86-point floor to a 149-point upside, around a 93-point median: a spread of 63 points, or 68% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Cabrera on the board are Luis Medina, Lake Bachar and Ryne Nelson.
At 28, Cabrera is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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