Luis Medina is a Athletics RP projected for 174 fantasy points on 78.6 IP, 99 K, 3.2 ERA, 1.403 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Luis Medina's 2026 projection is built on 79 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Medina's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 24: 106 strikeouts over 110 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2026 ran 110, 40 and 73.
In 2026, Medina's 3.08 ERA came in below a 3.87 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Medina struck out 29.3% of batters and walked 12.3%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.0 points, and hitters missed on 32.4% of their swings. Contact against Medina averaged 90.0 mph off the bat, with a 7.9% barrel rate.
Medina's projected range runs from a 166-point floor to a 345-point upside, around a 174-point median: a spread of 179 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Medina on the board are Lake Bachar, Calvin Faucher and José A. Ferrer.
At 27, Medina is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation adds weight for expected growth.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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