Garrett Cleavinger

Garrett Cleavinger is a Tampa Bay Rays RP projected for 85 fantasy points on 41.4 IP, 54 K, 4.8 ERA, 1.429 WHIP, 2 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.

Team
Tampa Bay Rays
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
85
Projected innings
41.4
Projected strikeouts
54
Projected ERA
4.8
Projected WHIP
1.429
Projected wins
4
Projected saves
2
Projected hits allowed
37
Projected earned runs
22
Projected walks allowed
22
Floor (10th percentile)
85
Median outcome
85
Upside (90th percentile)
136
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
16%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Garrett Cleavinger's 2026 projection is built on 41 innings out of the bullpen.

Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, Cleavinger's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 31: 82 strikeouts over 61 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 60, 61 and 41, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.

In 2026, Cleavinger's 4.79 ERA ran above a 4.27 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.

Tracking data from 2026: Cleavinger struck out 29.8% of batters and walked 12.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.6 points, and hitters missed on 28.3% of their swings. Contact against Cleavinger averaged 86.9 mph off the bat, with a 7.8% barrel rate.

Cleavinger's projected range runs from an 85-point floor to a 136-point upside, around an 85-point median: a spread of 51 points, or 60% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Cleavinger on the board are Ryan Borucki, Pete Fairbanks and Michael Rucker.

At 32, Cleavinger is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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