Ty France is a San Diego Padres 1B projected for 297 fantasy points on 15 HR, .263 AVG, 62 R, 76 RBI, 1 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 19%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Ty France's 2026 projection is built on 527 plate appearances in a regular role. France bats right-handed.
Across 8 seasons of regular playing time, France's most productive came in 2021 at age 26: 254 total bases, 73 RBI and 85 runs over 650 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 535, 490 and 500.
In 2026, France's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .373 wOBA against a .327 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
France's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 91.5 mph average exit velocity, a 9.1% barrel rate and 47.4% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. France struck out in 21.6% of plate appearances and walked in 7.4%, chasing 34.5% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 72.0 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, France's average exit velocity rose from 89.5 mph to 91.5 mph and strikeout rate rose from 16.9% to 21.6%.
France's projected range runs from a 282-point floor to a 401-point upside, around a 297-point median: a spread of 119 points, or 40% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to France on the board are J.D. Davis, Vaughn Grissom and Eloy Jiménez.
At 31, France is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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