Tyler Phillips is a Miami Marlins SP+RP projected for 134 fantasy points on 74 IP, 59 K, 3.4 ERA, 1.328 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 12%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Tyler Phillips's 2026 projection is built on 74 innings as a starter.
Across 3 seasons with meaningful innings, Phillips's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 28: 101 strikeouts over 127 innings, with 5 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 37, 78 and 127, a rising workload.
In 2026, Phillips's 3.34 ERA came in below a 4.73 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Phillips struck out 18.8% of batters and walked 10.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 8.4 points, and hitters missed on 26.4% of their swings. Contact against Phillips averaged 89.5 mph off the bat, with an 8.0% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Phillips's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 267 pitches, the whiff rate sits 1 point below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 2 points below Phillips's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Phillips's projected range runs from a 227-point floor to a 472-point upside, around a 238-point median: a spread of 245 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Phillips on the board are Aaron Civale, Taylor Clarke and Ryan Gusto.
At 28, Phillips is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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