Patrick Sandoval is a Boston Red Sox SP projected for 80 fantasy points on 74.3 IP, 77 K, 5.1 ERA, 1.671 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 10%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Patrick Sandoval's 2026 projection is built on 74 innings as a starter.
Across 7 seasons with meaningful innings, Sandoval's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 25: 151 strikeouts over 149 innings, with 6 wins. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2026 ran 145, 80 and 70, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Sandoval's 5.12 ERA sat close to a 4.86 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Sandoval struck out 22.7% of batters and walked 10.0%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.7 points, and hitters missed on 25.3% of their swings. Contact against Sandoval averaged 87.5 mph off the bat, with a 6.5% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Sandoval's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 359 pitches, the whiff rate sits 4 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points above Sandoval's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Sandoval's projected range runs from a 74-point floor to a 128-point upside, around an 80-point median: a spread of 54 points, or 68% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Sandoval on the board are Yusei Kikuchi, Albert Suárez and J.T. Ginn.
At 29, Sandoval is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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