Chase Shugart

Chase Shugart is a Philadelphia Phillies RP projected for 117 fantasy points on 56.9 IP, 62 K, 4 ERA, 1.187 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.

Team
Philadelphia Phillies
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
117
Projected innings
56.9
Projected strikeouts
62
Projected ERA
4
Projected WHIP
1.187
Projected wins
2
Projected hits allowed
46
Projected earned runs
26
Projected walks allowed
21
Floor (10th percentile)
111
Median outcome
117
Upside (90th percentile)
187
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
14%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Chase Shugart's 2026 projection is built on 57 innings out of the bullpen.

Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Shugart's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 29: 59 strikeouts over 54 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 45 and 54.

In 2026, Shugart's 4.02 ERA sat close to a 3.78 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.

Tracking data from 2026: Shugart struck out 26.5% of batters and walked 9.0%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.5 points, and hitters missed on 23.4% of their swings. Contact against Shugart averaged 87.1 mph off the bat, with a 10.0% barrel rate.

Shugart's projected range runs from a 111-point floor to a 187-point upside, around a 117-point median: a spread of 76 points, or 65% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Shugart on the board are Austin Warren, Matt Svanson and José Fermin.

At 29, Shugart is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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