Hogan Harris is a Athletics RP projected for 246 fantasy points on 73.7 IP, 92 K, 3.4 ERA, 1.454 WHIP, 18 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 45% and a bust at 10%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Hogan Harris's 2026 projection is built on 74 innings as a closer. That role carries 18 projected saves.
Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, Harris's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 29: 88 strikeouts over 70 innings, with 17 saves. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 72, 65 and 70.
In 2026, Harris's 3.33 ERA came in below a 3.73 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Harris struck out 28.3% of batters and walked 13.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 14.8 points, and hitters missed on 25.3% of their swings. Contact against Harris averaged 87.4 mph off the bat, with a 6.9% barrel rate.
Harris's projected range runs from a 234-point floor to a 393-point upside, around a 246-point median: a spread of 159 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Harris on the board are Jack Leiter, Andrew Kittredge and Emilio Pagán.
At 29, Harris is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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