Shane McClanahan is a Tampa Bay Rays SP projected for 246 fantasy points on 118.1 IP, 106 K, 3.4 ERA, 1.119 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Shane McClanahan's 2026 projection is built on 118 innings as a starter.
Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, McClanahan's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 25: 194 strikeouts over 166 innings, with 12 wins. Innings across 2022, 2023 and 2026 ran 166, 115 and 118.
In 2026, McClanahan's 3.36 ERA came in below a 4.30 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: McClanahan struck out 21.8% of batters and walked 8.0%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 13.8 points, and hitters missed on 26.8% of their swings. Contact against McClanahan averaged 89.3 mph off the bat, with an 8.9% barrel rate.
McClanahan's projected range runs from a 246-point floor to a 394-point upside, around a 246-point median: a spread of 148 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to McClanahan on the board are Brock Burke, Kenley Jansen and Bryan Baker.
At 29, McClanahan is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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