Nico Hoerner is a Chicago Cubs 2B/SS projected for 380 fantasy points on 10 HR, .272 AVG, 66 R, 75 RBI, 25 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 40% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Nico Hoerner's 2026 projection is built on 721 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Hoerner bats right-handed.
Across 8 seasons of regular playing time, Hoerner's most productive came in 2023 at age 26: 237 total bases, 68 RBI and 98 runs over 688 plate appearances, with 43 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 641, 649 and 689.
In 2026, Hoerner's results lagged the quality of contact: a .297 wOBA against a .322 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Hoerner's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 85.9 mph average exit velocity, a 1.4% barrel rate and 29.1% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Hoerner struck out in 8.4% of plate appearances and walked in 6.2%, chasing 33.7% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 68.3 mph.
Hoerner's strikeout, walk and contact rates held within normal year-to-year noise from 2025 to 2026, so the forecast is not reacting to a skill change.
Hoerner's projected range runs from a 362-point floor to a 494-point upside, around a 380-point median: a spread of 132 points, or 35% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Hoerner on the board are Otto Lopez, Sam Antonacci and Tyler Freeman.
At 29, Hoerner is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, though the multi-year valuation still discounts later seasons.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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