Triston McKenzie is a P projected for 0 fantasy points on 0 IP, 0 K, 4.5 ERA, 1.591 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, McKenzie's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 24: 190 strikeouts over 191 innings, with 11 wins. Innings across 2021, 2022 and 2024 ran 120, 191 and 76, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
McKenzie's projected range runs from an 88-point floor to a 122-point upside, around a 103-point median: a spread of 34 points, or 33% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to McKenzie on the board are Scott Alexander, Nick Mears and Yariel Rodríguez.
At 28, McKenzie is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
PT modeling: projected PA is anchored to workload tier (full-time, regular, platoon, backup catcher) using historical role distributions.
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