Kris Bubic is a Los Angeles Dodgers SP projected for 123 fantasy points on 59.8 IP, 61 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.204 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 4% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Kris Bubic's 2026 projection is built on 60 innings as a starter.
Across 6 seasons with meaningful innings, Bubic's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 27: 116 strikeouts over 116 innings, with 8 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 30, 116 and 55.
In 2026, Bubic's 3.76 ERA came in below a 4.21 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Bubic struck out 24.8% of batters and walked 11.5%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 13.3 points, and hitters missed on 25.9% of their swings. Contact against Bubic averaged 89.3 mph off the bat, with a 7.1% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Bubic's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 294 pitches, the whiff rate sits 5 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 2 points below Bubic's own baseline. The engine applies a -6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Bubic's projected range runs from a 113-point floor to a 243-point upside, around a 123-point median: a spread of 130 points, or 106% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bubic on the board are Kevin Ginkel, Hunter Gaddis and Tanner Scott.
At 28, Bubic is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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