Jhoan Duran is a Philadelphia Phillies RP projected for 353 fantasy points on 62.9 IP, 88 K, 1.9 ERA, 1.011 WHIP, 35 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 74% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Jhoan Duran's 2026 projection is built on 63 innings as a closer. That role carries 35 projected saves.
Across 5 seasons with meaningful innings, Duran's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 24: 89 strikeouts over 68 innings, with 8 saves. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 54, 70 and 59.
In 2026, Duran's 1.82 ERA sat close to a 2.06 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Duran struck out 35.6% of batters and walked 4.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 31.4 points, and hitters missed on 35.7% of their swings. Contact against Duran averaged 89.6 mph off the bat, with a 3.7% barrel rate.
Duran's projected range runs from a 336-point floor to a 565-point upside, around a 353-point median: a spread of 229 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Duran on the board are Blake Snell, Alex Vesia and Aroldis Chapman.
At 28, Duran is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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