Brennan Bernardino

Brennan Bernardino is a Colorado Rockies RP projected for 146 fantasy points on 68.5 IP, 52 K, 2.9 ERA, 1.176 WHIP, 2 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.

Team
Colorado Rockies
Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
146
Projected innings
68.5
Projected strikeouts
52
Projected ERA
2.9
Projected WHIP
1.176
Projected wins
4.2
Projected saves
2
Projected hits allowed
64
Projected earned runs
22
Projected walks allowed
17
Floor (10th percentile)
139
Median outcome
146
Upside (90th percentile)
289
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
14%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Brennan Bernardino's 2026 projection is built on 68 innings out of the bullpen.

Across 4 seasons with meaningful innings, Bernardino's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 31: 58 strikeouts over 51 innings, with 2 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 51, 52 and 64.

In 2026, Bernardino's 2.81 ERA came in below a 3.73 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.

Tracking data from 2026: Bernardino struck out 18.4% of batters and walked 5.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.8 points, and hitters missed on 22.2% of their swings. Contact against Bernardino averaged 87.1 mph off the bat, with a 5.6% barrel rate.

Bernardino's projected range runs from a 139-point floor to a 289-point upside, around a 146-point median: a spread of 150 points, or 103% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Bernardino on the board are Steven Matz, Tim Mayza and Griffin Canning.

At 34, Bernardino is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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