Drew Rasmussen is a Tampa Bay Rays SP projected for 476 fantasy points on 183.2 IP, 185 K, 2.7 ERA, 0.927 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 33% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Drew Rasmussen's 2026 projection is built on 183 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 6 seasons with meaningful innings, Rasmussen's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 30: 174 strikeouts over 172 innings, with 16 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 29, 150 and 172, a rising workload.
In 2026, Rasmussen's 2.67 ERA came in below a 3.06 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Rasmussen struck out 26.0% of batters and walked 4.8%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 21.2 points, and hitters missed on 25.1% of their swings. Contact against Rasmussen averaged 88.2 mph off the bat, with a 5.9% barrel rate.
Rasmussen's projected range runs from a 453-point floor to a 762-point upside, around a 476-point median: a spread of 309 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Rasmussen on the board are Parker Messick, Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Cam Schlittler.
At 30, Rasmussen is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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