Derek Hill is a Philadelphia Phillies OF projected for 111 fantasy points on 8 HR, .239 AVG, 32 R, 33 RBI, 14 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Derek Hill's 2026 projection is built on 218 plate appearances in a part-time role. Hill bats right-handed.
Across 6 seasons of regular playing time, Hill's most productive came in 2026 at age 30: 88 total bases, 31 RBI and 30 runs over 216 plate appearances, with 13 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 172, 149 and 216, a rising workload.
In 2026, Hill's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .319 wOBA against a .289 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Hill's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 88.9 mph average exit velocity, a 10.6% barrel rate and 33.8% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Hill struck out in 31.9% of plate appearances and walked in 6.0%, chasing 34.6% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 71.5 mph.
From 2024 to 2026, Hill's walk rate rose from 2.9% to 6.0%.
Hill's projected range runs from a 106-point floor to a 276-point upside, around a 111-point median: a spread of 170 points, or 153% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Hill on the board are Jordan Walker, Gabriel Arias and Oswald Peraza.
At 30, Hill is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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