Jack Flaherty is a Detroit Tigers SP projected for 156 fantasy points on 93.4 IP, 109 K, 4.5 ERA, 1.389 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 16% and a bust at 13%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Jack Flaherty's 2026 projection is built on 93 innings as a starter.
Across 10 seasons with meaningful innings, Flaherty's biggest strikeout year came in 2019 at age 23: 231 strikeouts over 196 innings, with 11 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 162, 161 and 88, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Flaherty's 4.48 ERA sat close to a 4.38 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Flaherty struck out 26.0% of batters and walked 10.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 15.4 points, and hitters missed on 27.1% of their swings. Contact against Flaherty averaged 90.3 mph off the bat, with an 8.2% barrel rate.
Flaherty's projected range runs from a 147-point floor to a 310-point upside, around a 156-point median: a spread of 163 points, or 104% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Flaherty on the board are Jack Leiter, Kyle Harrison and Griffin Jax.
At 30, Flaherty is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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