Luis Arraez is a Philadelphia Phillies 2B/DH/1B projected for 417 fantasy points on 8 HR, .297 AVG, 70 R, 67 RBI, 10 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 12% and a bust at 18%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Luis Arraez's 2026 projection is built on 688 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Arraez bats left-handed.
Across 8 seasons of regular playing time, Arraez's most productive came in 2023 at age 26: 269 total bases, 69 RBI and 71 runs over 617 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 672, 675 and 655.
In 2026, Arraez's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .331 wOBA against a .307 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Arraez's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 86.4 mph average exit velocity, a 1.2% barrel rate and 19.4% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Arraez struck out in 4.3% of plate appearances and walked in 5.2%, chasing 33.1% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 63.1 mph.
Arraez's strikeout, walk and contact rates held within normal year-to-year noise from 2025 to 2026, so the forecast is not reacting to a skill change.
Arraez's projected range runs from a 397-point floor to a 542-point upside, around a 417-point median: a spread of 145 points, or 35% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Arraez on the board are Jung Hoo Lee, Javier Sanoja and Jacob Wilson.
At 29, Arraez is in the age range where hitters typically hold their skills, though the multi-year valuation still discounts later seasons.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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