Sandy Alcantara is a Miami Marlins SP projected for 351 fantasy points on 203.9 IP, 147 K, 3.9 ERA, 1.228 WHIP, 3 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 14% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Sandy Alcantara's 2026 projection is built on 204 innings as a full-time starter.
Across 8 seasons with meaningful innings, Alcantara's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 26: 207 strikeouts over 229 innings, with 14 wins. Innings across 2023, 2025 and 2026 ran 185, 175 and 214.
In 2026, Alcantara's 3.87 ERA sat close to a 3.81 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Alcantara struck out 17.1% of batters and walked 6.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.5 points, and hitters missed on 21.1% of their swings. Contact against Alcantara averaged 88.7 mph off the bat, with a 5.5% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Alcantara's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 395 pitches, the whiff rate sits 1 point below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 2 points below Alcantara's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Alcantara's projected range runs from a 367-point floor to a 617-point upside, around a 386-point median: a spread of 250 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Alcantara on the board are Michael Wacha, Framber Valdez and Andre Pallante.
At 30, Alcantara is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills, and the multi-year valuation applies little age adjustment.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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