Gregory Soto is a Pittsburgh Pirates RP projected for 241 fantasy points on 71.5 IP, 85 K, 3.6 ERA, 1.190 WHIP, 16 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 3% and a bust at 11%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Gregory Soto's 2026 projection is built on 71 innings as a closer. That role carries 16 projected saves.
Across 8 seasons with meaningful innings, Soto's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 31: 79 strikeouts over 67 innings, with 16 saves. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 53, 60 and 67.
In 2026, Soto's 3.63 ERA ran above a 3.03 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Soto struck out 27.7% of batters and walked 10.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.5 points, and hitters missed on 27.3% of their swings. Contact against Soto averaged 86.1 mph off the bat, with a 4.1% barrel rate.
Soto's projected range runs from a 230-point floor to a 386-point upside, around a 241-point median: a spread of 156 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Soto on the board are Luke Weaver, Aroldis Chapman and Tyler Glasnow.
At 31, Soto is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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