Devin Williams is a New York Mets RP projected for 161 fantasy points on 42.8 IP, 55 K, 4.4 ERA, 1.564 WHIP, 17 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 28% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Devin Williams's 2026 projection is built on 43 innings as a closer. That role carries 17 projected saves.
Across 7 seasons with meaningful innings, Williams's biggest strikeout year came in 2022 at age 27: 96 strikeouts over 61 innings, with 15 saves. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 22, 62 and 41.
In 2026, Williams's 4.43 ERA ran above a 3.22 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Williams struck out 28.3% of batters and walked 11.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 16.9 points, and hitters missed on 34.4% of their swings. Contact against Williams averaged 87.7 mph off the bat, with a 4.5% barrel rate.
Williams's projected range runs from a 152-point floor to a 319-point upside, around a 161-point median: a spread of 167 points, or 104% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Williams on the board are Andrés Muñoz, Garrett Whitlock and Luke Weaver.
At 31, Williams is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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