Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill is a Baltimore Orioles OF projected for 99 fantasy points on 12 HR, .228 AVG, 31 R, 23 RBI, 1 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 23%.

Team
Baltimore Orioles
Position
OF
Projected fantasy points
99
Projected plate appearances
260
Projected home runs
12
Projected batting average
.228
Projected runs
31
Projected RBI
23
Projected stolen bases
1
Projected total bases
89
Projected walks
27
Floor (10th percentile)
99
Median outcome
99
Upside (90th percentile)
264
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
23%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Tyler O'Neill's 2026 projection is built on 260 plate appearances in a part-time role. O'Neill bats right-handed.

Across 9 seasons of regular playing time, O'Neill's most productive came in 2021 at age 26: 270 total bases, 80 RBI and 89 runs over 537 plate appearances, with 15 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 473, 209 and 260.

In 2026, O'Neill's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .302 wOBA against a .307 expected wOBA.

O'Neill's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.4 mph average exit velocity, an 8.8% barrel rate and 42.8% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. O'Neill struck out in 27.7% of plate appearances and walked in 10.4%, chasing 27.9% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 72.3 mph.

From 2025 to 2026, O'Neill's barrel rate fell from 16.5% to 8.8% and strikeout rate rose from 24.4% to 27.7%.

O'Neill's projected range runs from a 99-point floor to a 264-point upside, around a 99-point median: a spread of 165 points, or 167% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to O'Neill on the board are Matt Wallner, Taylor Ward and Roman Anthony.

At 31, O'Neill is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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