Tim Mayza is a Philadelphia Phillies SP+RP projected for 143 fantasy points on 71.5 IP, 67 K, 3.5 ERA, 1.139 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Tim Mayza's 2026 projection is built on 71 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 7 seasons with meaningful innings, Mayza's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 34: 64 strikeouts over 67 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2023, 2024 and 2026 ran 53, 43 and 67, a rising workload.
In 2026, Mayza's 3.48 ERA sat close to a 3.47 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Mayza struck out 23.6% of batters and walked 6.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 17.0 points, and hitters missed on 22.2% of their swings. Contact against Mayza averaged 89.3 mph off the bat, with a 6.4% barrel rate.
Mayza's projected range runs from a 136-point floor to a 283-point upside, around a 143-point median: a spread of 147 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Mayza on the board are Hayden Wesneski, Pierce Johnson and Ben Brown.
At 34, Mayza is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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