Tyler Kinley is a Detroit Tigers RP projected for 125 fantasy points on 59.9 IP, 51 K, 3.5 ERA, 1.159 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Tyler Kinley's 2026 projection is built on 60 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 7 seasons with meaningful innings, Kinley's biggest strikeout year came in 2025 at age 34: 73 strikeouts over 73 innings, with 6 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 64, 73 and 57.
In 2026, Kinley's 3.45 ERA sat close to a 3.47 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Kinley struck out 20.7% of batters and walked 11.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 9.5 points, and hitters missed on 27.1% of their swings. Contact against Kinley averaged 84.9 mph off the bat, with a 6.5% barrel rate.
Kinley's projected range runs from a 119-point floor to a 248-point upside, around a 125-point median: a spread of 129 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Kinley on the board are Andrew Kittredge, Gabe Speier and Emilio Pagán.
At 35, Kinley is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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