J.P. Crawford

J.P. Crawford is a Seattle Mariners SS/3B projected for 218 fantasy points on 12 HR, .237 AVG, 57 R, 43 RBI, 1 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 2% and a bust at 22%.

Team
Seattle Mariners
Position
SS/3B
Projected fantasy points
218
Projected plate appearances
516
Projected home runs
12
Projected batting average
.237
Projected runs
57
Projected RBI
43
Projected stolen bases
1
Projected total bases
154
Projected walks
68
Floor (10th percentile)
207
Median outcome
218
Upside (90th percentile)
367
Elite-season odds
2%
Bust odds
22%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

J.P. Crawford's 2026 projection is built on 516 plate appearances in a regular role. Crawford bats left-handed.

Across 10 seasons of regular playing time, Crawford's most productive came in 2023 at age 28: 234 total bases, 65 RBI and 94 runs over 638 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 451, 654 and 489.

In 2026, Crawford's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .312 wOBA against a .319 expected wOBA.

Crawford's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 87.7 mph average exit velocity, a 6.3% barrel rate and 34.7% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Crawford struck out in 19.8% of plate appearances and walked in 13.1%, chasing 19.7% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 71.3 mph.

Crawford's strikeout, walk and contact rates held within normal year-to-year noise from 2025 to 2026, so the forecast is not reacting to a skill change.

Crawford's projected range runs from a 207-point floor to a 367-point upside, around a 218-point median: a spread of 160 points, or 73% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Crawford on the board are Jesse Winker, Iván Herrera and Kyle Karros.

At 31, Crawford is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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