Adam Frazier

Adam Frazier is a Los Angeles Angels 2B projected for 57 fantasy points on 3 HR, .246 AVG, 20 R, 15 RBI, 3 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 25%.

Team
Los Angeles Angels
Position
2B
Projected fantasy points
57
Projected plate appearances
156
Projected home runs
3
Projected batting average
.246
Projected runs
20
Projected RBI
15
Projected stolen bases
3
Projected total bases
50
Projected walks
12
Floor (10th percentile)
52
Median outcome
57
Upside (90th percentile)
222
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
25%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Adam Frazier's 2026 projection is built on 156 plate appearances, down from 459 in 2025. Frazier bats left-handed.

Across 11 seasons of regular playing time, Frazier's most productive came in 2021 at age 29: 237 total bases, 43 RBI and 83 runs over 639 plate appearances, with 10 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 294, 459 and 147, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.

In 2025, Frazier's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .300 wOBA against a .279 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.

Frazier's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 85.6 mph average exit velocity, a 2.1% barrel rate and 19.1% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Frazier struck out in 26.5% of plate appearances and walked in 7.5%, chasing 36.5% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 65.2 mph.

From 2024 to 2025, Frazier's strikeout rate fell from 20.1% to 17.6%.

Frazier's projected range runs from a 52-point floor to a 222-point upside, around a 57-point median: a spread of 170 points, or 298% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Frazier on the board are Nick Castellanos, Eloy Jiménez and David Fry.

At 34, Frazier is past the typical hitting peak, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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