Pete Alonso is a Baltimore Orioles 1B/DH projected for 466 fantasy points on 39 HR, .260 AVG, 103 R, 119 RBI, 5 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 68% and a bust at 20%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Pete Alonso's 2026 projection is built on 732 plate appearances as an everyday regular. Alonso bats right-handed.
Across 8 seasons of regular playing time, Alonso's most productive came in 2019 at age 24: 348 total bases, 120 RBI and 103 runs over 693 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 695, 709 and 700.
In 2026, Alonso's results lagged the quality of contact: a .379 wOBA against a .402 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so the gap describes output that ran below what the contact earned.
Alonso's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 93.9 mph average exit velocity, a 15.3% barrel rate and 56.2% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Alonso struck out in 24.1% of plate appearances and walked in 11.6%, chasing 26.6% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 74.7 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Alonso's walk rate rose from 8.6% to 11.6% and barrel rate fell from 18.9% to 15.3%.
Alonso's projected range runs from a 444-point floor to a 606-point upside, around a 466-point median: a spread of 162 points, or 35% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Alonso on the board are Jonathan Aranda, Tyler Soderstrom and Drake Baldwin.
At 31, Alonso is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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