Byron Buxton is a Minnesota Twins OF projected for 237 fantasy points on 22 HR, .260 AVG, 65 R, 46 RBI, 7 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 22%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Byron Buxton's 2026 projection is built on 408 plate appearances in a regular role. Buxton bats right-handed.
Across 12 seasons of regular playing time, Buxton's most productive came in 2025 at age 31: 269 total bases, 83 RBI and 97 runs over 542 plate appearances, with 24 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 388, 542 and 408.
In 2026, Buxton's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .355 wOBA against a .343 expected wOBA.
Buxton's 2026 batted-ball profile: a 90.2 mph average exit velocity, a 15.9% barrel rate and 46.7% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Buxton struck out in 24.5% of plate appearances and walked in 7.4%, chasing 34.4% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 74.1 mph.
From 2025 to 2026, Buxton's average exit velocity fell from 92.5 mph to 90.2 mph and strikeout rate fell from 27.3% to 24.5%.
Buxton's projected range runs from a 237-point floor to a 396-point upside, around a 237-point median: a spread of 159 points, or 67% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Buxton on the board are Jackson Chourio, Carson Benge and Zach Neto.
At 32, Buxton is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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