Matt Strahm

Matt Strahm is a RP projected for 27 fantasy points on 36.9 IP, 31 K, 7.2 ERA, 1.477 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 17%.

Position
RP
Projected fantasy points
27
Projected innings
36.9
Projected strikeouts
31
Projected ERA
7.2
Projected WHIP
1.477
Projected wins
3
Projected hits allowed
40
Projected earned runs
30
Projected walks allowed
14
Floor (10th percentile)
24
Median outcome
27
Upside (90th percentile)
38
Elite-season odds
0%
Bust odds
17%

Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Matt Strahm's 2026 projection is built on 37 innings out of the bullpen.

Across 10 seasons with meaningful innings, Strahm's biggest strikeout year came in 2019 at age 27: 118 strikeouts over 115 innings, with 6 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 63, 62 and 36, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.

Tracking data from 2026: Strahm struck out 18.6% of batters and walked 8.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 9.9 points, and hitters missed on 23.2% of their swings. Contact against Strahm averaged 89.5 mph off the bat, with an 11.3% barrel rate.

Strahm's projected range runs from a 24-point floor to a 38-point upside, around a 27-point median: a spread of 14 points, or 52% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Strahm on the board are Scott Barlow, Brad Keller and Evan Phillips.

At 34, Strahm is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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