Paul Blackburn is a New York Yankees RP projected for 225 fantasy points on 91.2 IP, 74 K, 1.7 ERA, 1.096 WHIP, 1 SV by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Paul Blackburn's 2026 projection is built on 91 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 8 seasons with meaningful innings, Blackburn's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 29: 104 strikeouts over 104 innings, with 4 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 75, 39 and 85, a rising workload.
In 2026, Blackburn's 1.59 ERA came in below a 3.68 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Blackburn struck out 20.5% of batters and walked 9.8%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.7 points, and hitters missed on 22.8% of their swings. Contact against Blackburn averaged 87.0 mph off the bat, with a 5.6% barrel rate.
Blackburn's projected range runs from a 215-point floor to a 446-point upside, around a 225-point median: a spread of 231 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Blackburn on the board are Jakob Junis, Tyler Phillips and Taylor Clarke.
At 32, Blackburn is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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