Tyler Ferguson is a Chicago Cubs RP projected for 36 fantasy points on 19.8 IP, 22 K, 5.2 ERA, 1.033 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Tyler Ferguson's 2026 projection is built on 20 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Ferguson's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 30: 62 strikeouts over 51 innings, with 4 wins. Innings across 2024 and 2025 ran 51 and 58.
Ferguson's projected range runs from a 34-point floor to a 58-point upside, around a 36-point median: a spread of 24 points, or 67% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Ferguson on the board are Daniel Palencia, Anthony Molina and Collin Snider.
At 32, Ferguson is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Run rankings to populate Market Edge.
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Studies and awards - the research-side surfaces of the managr platform.
Live snapshot of the projection system.
Backtest, parsimony, ablation, and benchmark - one synthesized report. Output renders in Validation.
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Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
PT modeling: projected PA is anchored to workload tier (full-time, regular, platoon, backup catcher) using historical role distributions.
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