Dansby Swanson

Dansby Swanson is a Chicago Cubs SS projected for 287 fantasy points on 18 HR, .235 AVG, 86 R, 73 RBI, 18 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 1% and a bust at 27%.

Team
Chicago Cubs
Position
SS
Projected fantasy points
287
Projected plate appearances
509
Projected home runs
18
Projected batting average
.235
Projected runs
86
Projected RBI
73
Projected stolen bases
18
Projected total bases
182
Projected walks
54
Floor (10th percentile)
274
Median outcome
287
Upside (90th percentile)
387
Elite-season odds
1%
Bust odds
27%

Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.

Player report

Dansby Swanson's 2026 projection is built on 509 plate appearances in a regular role. Swanson bats right-handed.

Across 11 seasons of regular playing time, Swanson's most productive came in 2022 at age 28: 286 total bases, 96 RBI and 99 runs over 696 plate appearances, with 18 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 593, 645 and 486.

In 2026, Swanson's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .306 wOBA against a .301 expected wOBA.

Swanson's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 89.2 mph average exit velocity, a 7.3% barrel rate and 40.6% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Swanson struck out in 23.7% of plate appearances and walked in 10.5%, chasing 26.4% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 71.5 mph.

From 2025 to 2026, Swanson's barrel rate fell from 11.7% to 7.3% and walk rate rose from 7.3% to 10.5%.

Swanson's projected range runs from a 274-point floor to a 387-point upside, around a 287-point median: a spread of 113 points, or 39% of the median.

By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Swanson on the board are Tim Tawa, Casey Schmitt and Randy Arozarena.

At 32, Swanson is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.

This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.

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2026 FYPD Class

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