José Castillo is a RP projected for 0 fantasy points on 0 IP, 0 K, 4.2 ERA, 1.437 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 14%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Castillo's biggest strikeout year came in 2018 at age 22: 52 strikeouts over 38 innings, with 3 wins. Innings across 2018 and 2025 ran 38 and 32.
Tracking data from 2025: Castillo struck out 20.1% of batters and walked 9.4%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 10.7 points, and hitters missed on 22.6% of their swings. Contact against Castillo averaged 89.7 mph off the bat, with a 6.0% barrel rate.
Castillo's projected range runs from a 73-point floor to a 104-point upside, around an 82-point median: a spread of 31 points, or 38% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Castillo on the board are Daysbel Hernández, Adam Mazur and Scott Effross.
At 30, Castillo is in the age range where pitchers typically hold their skills.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
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