Rob Refsnyder is a OF projected for 22 fantasy points on 10 R, 12 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 21%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Rob Refsnyder's 2026 projection is built on 133 plate appearances in a limited role. Refsnyder bats right-handed.
Across 9 seasons of regular playing time, Refsnyder's most productive came in 2024 at age 33: 128 total bases, 40 RBI and 32 runs over 307 plate appearances. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 307, 209 and 129, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2025, Refsnyder's results ran ahead of the quality of contact: a .359 wOBA against a .338 expected wOBA. Expected stats grade each batted ball by exit velocity and launch angle rather than by where it landed, so part of that output came on contact that does not usually produce it.
Refsnyder's 2026 batted-ball profile: an 86.6 mph average exit velocity, an 8.6% barrel rate and 34.6% of batted balls struck at 95 mph or harder. Refsnyder struck out in 28.7% of plate appearances and walked in 6.2%, chasing 25.7% of pitches outside the zone. The average swing measured 71.9 mph.
From 2024 to 2025, Refsnyder's average exit velocity rose from 89.6 mph to 92.0 mph and walk rate rose from 9.1% to 11.5%.
Refsnyder's projected range runs from a 20-point floor to a 187-point upside, around a 22-point median: a spread of 167 points, or 759% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Refsnyder on the board are Michael Conforto, Matt Wallner and Roman Anthony.
At 35, Refsnyder is past the typical hitting peak.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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