Erick Fedde is a Chicago White Sox SP+RP projected for 155 fantasy points on 104 IP, 74 K, 3.8 ERA, 1.352 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 12%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Erick Fedde's 2026 projection is built on 104 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 8 seasons with meaningful innings, Fedde's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 31: 154 strikeouts over 177 innings, with 9 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 177, 141 and 141.
In 2026, Fedde's 3.83 ERA came in below a 4.79 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so fewer runs crossed than that contact would usually produce.
Tracking data from 2026: Fedde struck out 16.3% of batters and walked 8.6%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 7.7 points, and hitters missed on 18.2% of their swings. Contact against Fedde averaged 88.7 mph off the bat, with an 8.3% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Fedde's arsenal as trending down. Over the last 317 pitches, the whiff rate sits 2 points below and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 3 points below Fedde's own baseline. The engine applies a -4% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Fedde's projected range runs from a 209-point floor to a 437-point upside, around a 221-point median: a spread of 228 points, or 103% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Fedde on the board are Zack Littell, Clay Holmes and Miles Mikolas.
At 33, Fedde is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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