Tyler Glasnow is a Los Angeles Dodgers SP projected for 211 fantasy points on 79.4 IP, 105 K, 3.5 ERA, 0.968 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 9% and a bust at 15%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Tyler Glasnow's 2026 projection is built on 79 innings as a starter.
Across 10 seasons with meaningful innings, Glasnow's biggest strikeout year came in 2024 at age 30: 168 strikeouts over 134 innings, with 9 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 134, 90 and 74, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Glasnow's 3.53 ERA ran above a 2.88 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Glasnow struck out 34.0% of batters and walked 8.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 25.3 points, and hitters missed on 32.1% of their swings. Contact against Glasnow averaged 90.1 mph off the bat, with an 8.5% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Glasnow's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 377 pitches, the whiff rate sits 12 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 4 points above Glasnow's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Glasnow's projected range runs from a 198-point floor to a 417-point upside, around a 211-point median: a spread of 219 points, or 104% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Glasnow on the board are Luke Weaver, Gregory Soto and Aroldis Chapman.
At 32, Glasnow is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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