Kyle Hart is a San Diego Padres RP projected for 106 fantasy points on 67.5 IP, 62 K, 4.9 ERA, 1.207 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Kyle Hart's 2026 projection is built on 67 innings out of the bullpen.
Across 2 seasons with meaningful innings, Hart's biggest strikeout year came in 2026 at age 33: 59 strikeouts over 64 innings, with 1 win. Innings across 2025 and 2026 ran 43 and 64, a rising workload.
In 2026, Hart's 4.92 ERA ran above a 3.65 expected ERA. Expected ERA is built from the quality of contact allowed rather than the runs that scored, so the gap points to run prevention that was better than the ERA shows.
Tracking data from 2026: Hart struck out 22.0% of batters and walked 9.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 12.3 points, and hitters missed on 22.7% of their swings. Contact against Hart averaged 87.3 mph off the bat, with an 8.4% barrel rate.
Hart's projected range runs from a 100-point floor to a 169-point upside, around a 106-point median: a spread of 69 points, or 65% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Hart on the board are Steven Cruz, Connor Prielipp and Shane Drohan.
At 33, Hart is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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