Orlando Arcia is a SS projected for 20 fantasy points on 6 R, 2 RBI, 0 SB by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 26%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-10-18. Rebuilt daily.
Orlando Arcia's 2026 projection is built on 53 plate appearances in a limited role. Arcia bats right-handed.
Across 11 seasons of regular playing time, Arcia's most productive came in 2017 at age 22: 206 total bases, 53 RBI and 56 runs over 548 plate appearances, with 14 stolen bases. Plate appearances across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 602, 214 and 50, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2025, Arcia's results tracked the quality of contact closely: a .233 wOBA against a .236 expected wOBA.
From 2024 to 2025, Arcia's barrel rate fell from 5.3% to 2.6% and walk rate fell from 6.8% to 4.7%.
Arcia's projected range runs from a 19-point floor to a 185-point upside, around a 20-point median: a spread of 166 points, or 830% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Arcia on the board are David Fry, Paul Goldschmidt and Henry Davis.
At 31, Arcia is entering the ages where hitting skills have historically begun to decline.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-10-18 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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Shrinkage: observed rates regress toward position-specific population means by an amount inversely proportional to sample size. Catches small-sample outliers.
Quality-of-contact adjustments: xwOBA, barrel rate, and bat-tracking metrics replace luck-driven outcome stats with skill-driven ones.
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