Brandon Woodruff is a Milwaukee Brewers SP projected for 115 fantasy points on 45.4 IP, 47 K, 3 ERA, 0.840 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 0% and a bust at 19%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Brandon Woodruff's 2026 projection is built on 45 innings as a starter.
Across 9 seasons with meaningful innings, Woodruff's biggest strikeout year came in 2021 at age 28: 211 strikeouts over 179 innings, with 9 wins. Innings across 2023, 2025 and 2026 ran 67, 65 and 45, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Woodruff's 2.98 ERA sat close to a 2.88 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Woodruff struck out 27.0% of batters and walked 5.7%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 21.3 points, and hitters missed on 23.6% of their swings. Contact against Woodruff averaged 90.0 mph off the bat, with a 7.8% barrel rate.
Recent pitch tracking flags Woodruff's arsenal as trending up. Over the last 245 pitches, the whiff rate sits 7 points above and the called-strike-plus-whiff rate sits 6 points above Woodruff's own baseline. The engine applies a +6% adjustment to the rest-of-season projection for a move this size; the full-season projection is untouched.
Woodruff's projected range runs from a 115-point floor to a 184-point upside, around a 115-point median: a spread of 69 points, or 60% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Woodruff on the board are Chase Burns, David Bednar and Aroldis Chapman.
At 33, Woodruff is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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