Blake Snell is a Los Angeles Dodgers SP projected for 132 fantasy points on 45.8 IP, 58 K, 1.9 ERA, 1.104 WHIP by the managr projection engine. Monte-Carlo outcome odds put an elite season at 4% and a bust at 16%.
Projection snapshot: 2026-09-28. Rebuilt daily.
Blake Snell's 2026 projection is built on 46 innings as a starter.
Across 11 seasons with meaningful innings, Snell's biggest strikeout year came in 2023 at age 30: 234 strikeouts over 180 innings, with 14 wins. Innings across 2024, 2025 and 2026 ran 104, 61 and 43, a drop in workload worth weighing against the forecast.
In 2026, Snell's 1.90 ERA sat close to a 2.17 expected ERA, so the runs allowed matched the quality of contact.
Tracking data from 2026: Snell struck out 31.8% of batters and walked 9.2%, a strikeout-minus-walk rate of 22.6 points, and hitters missed on 34.8% of their swings. Contact against Snell averaged 82.9 mph off the bat, with a 2.0% barrel rate.
Snell's projected range runs from a 124-point floor to a 261-point upside, around a 132-point median: a spread of 137 points, or 104% of the median.
By statistical profile, the closest comparisons to Snell on the board are Jhoan Duran, Alex Vesia and Aroldis Chapman.
At 33, Snell is at the age where velocity and durability become the leading risks for pitchers, and the multi-year valuation discounts later seasons accordingly.
This report is generated from the managr engine's 2026-09-28 snapshot and rebuilt daily.
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